期刊名称:Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics
印刷版ISSN:0103-0752
出版年度:2019
卷号:33
期号:2
页码:280-300
DOI:10.1214/17-BJPS388
语种:English
出版社:Brazilian Statistical Association
摘要:In this paper, we study the change point problem for the skew normal distribution model from the view of model selection problem. The detection procedure based on the modified information criterion (MIC) for change problem is proposed. Such a procedure has advantage in detecting the changes in early and late stage of a data comparing to the one based on the traditional Schwarz information criterion which is well known as Bayesian information criterion (BIC) by considering the complexity of the models. Due to the difficulty in deriving the analytic asymptotic distribution of the test statistic based on the MIC procedure, the bootstrap simulation is provided to obtain the critical values at the different significance levels. Simulations are conducted to illustrate the comparisons of performance between MIC, BIC and likelihood ratio test (LRT). Such an approach is applied on two stock market data sets to indicate the detection procedure.