文章基本信息

标题：Economic Evaluation of Climate Change Impacts on Road Transportation in Atlantic Canada
本地全文：下载
作者：Yuri Yevdokimov
期刊名称：Advances in Economics and Business
印刷版ISSN：2331-5059
电子版ISSN：2331-5075
出版年度：2016
卷号：4
期号：6
页码：291-296
DOI：10.13189/aeb.2016.040603
语种：English
出版社：Horizon Research Publishing
摘要：Climate change impacts such as an increase in mean temperature, change in precipitation patterns and sea level rise are affecting regional road transportation network in Atlantic Canada. Those impacts cause direct and indirect economic consequences for the network and regional economy. In our study, we constructed a dynamic computable general equilibrium model (CGEM) to trace these consequences over time. Basic principles of the designed CGEM are discussed and the model's architecture is presented. The model's elements are estimated, and the obtained CGEM is tested with exogenously imposed shocks. The dynamics of regional temperature, precipitation and sea level are analyzed on the basis of comprehensive time series analysis. This dynamics will later be imposed on the designed CGEM as external productivity shocks. Some preliminary cumulative economic consequences are evaluated in monetary terms to obtain benchmarks for the mitigation measures associated with future development of the regional road transportation network.
关键词：Climate Change;Regional Transportation Network;General Equilibrium Model;Time Series Analysis;Productivity Shocks