文章基本信息

标题：Greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation potentials in agriculture, forestry and other land use in Southeast Asia
本地全文：下载
作者：Tomoko Hasegawa ; Yuzuru Matsuoka
期刊名称：Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
印刷版ISSN：1943-815X
电子版ISSN：1943-8168
出版年度：2012
卷号：9
页码：159-176
DOI：10.1080/1943815X.2012.701647
语种：English
出版社：Taylor & Francis
摘要：This study aims to estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potentials in Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) in the Southeast Asian countries: Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam, up to 2030. We developed a bottom-up type model named the AFOLUB Model, which calculates GHG mitigations based on the detailed information of specific technologies. The model illustrates producer's behaviour of agricultural production and mitigation technology selection as a result of profit maximization. Using this model, we evaluated mitigations and effective technologies with high mitigation potentials in the sectors. As a result, GHG emissions in agriculture and Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) in the three countries were 149 MtCO2eq/year and 1.0 GtCO2eq/year in 2005 and will increase 1.7 and 1.8 times up to 2030 in the BaU case. Indonesia is the largest emission country among them. We also found that no-regret mitigation technologies are expected to reduce 33MtCO2eq/year in 2030, which corresponds to 22% of agricultural emissions at the 2005 level. Under 10USD/tCO2eq of mitigation cost, 56MtCO2eq/year of emissions can be reduced by midseason drainage (MM) in rice cultivation, high efficient fertilizer application (HEF) to managed soils and Replacement of roughage with concentrates (RRC) etc.
关键词：climate change; agriculture; land-use change; mitigation potentials; Southeast Asia