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  • 标题:Eurasian Winter Cooling: Intercomparison of Reanalyses and CMIP5 Data Sets
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Stephen Outten ; Richard Davy ; Igor Esau
  • 期刊名称:Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
  • 印刷版ISSN:1674-2834
  • 电子版ISSN:2376-6123
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:5
  • 页码:324-331
  • DOI:10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.12.0112
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Taylor and Francis Ltd
  • 摘要:A cooling trend in wintertime surface air temperature over continental Eurasia has been identified in reanalysis and the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) ‘historical’ simulations over the period 1989-2009. Here the authors have shown that this cooling trend is related to changes in Arctic sea-ice around the Barents-Kara seas. This study illustrates a consistent spatial and temporal structure of the wintertime temperature variability centered over Asia using state-of-the-art reanalyses and global climate model datasets. Our findings indicate that there is a physical basis for seasonal predictions of near-surface temperatures over continental Asia based on changes to the ice-cover in the Barents-Kara seas.
  • 关键词:climate change; climate simulation; atmospheric tele-connections
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