文章基本信息

标题：Forecast of Agricultural Calendar for Maize (Zea Mays) from Global Circulation Model in the Ruzizi Area (DRC)
本地全文：下载
作者：Mutalemba Ntole Romain ; Muhigwa Jean Berckmans ; Katcho Katcho Karume 等
期刊名称：Environment and Ecology Research
印刷版ISSN：2331-625X
电子版ISSN：2331-6268
出版年度：2018
卷号：6
期号：1
页码：12-32
DOI：10.13189/eer.2018.060102
语种：English
出版社：Horizon Research Publishing
摘要：The world is facing several major challenges that regarding answer to the current economic crisis and the development of appropriate strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change. The objective of the study is to identify climate risks for maize and the development of an agricultural calendar from a global circulation model. From meteorological data, an agro-climatic analysis was performed during the period 1995-2013 and a forecast from 2015 to 2045 has been done. The results showed that maize is facing major agro-climatic risks from the shortening of the vegetative growth period consecutive to a screeching halt rains before the end of the rainy season which is one of the major agro-climatic constraints. From predicting Echam-5 model, the agricultural calendar was adjusted to avoid the drop in rainfall observed in October and plan the sowing period at the end of October instead of September.
关键词：Models; Maize; Climate Change; Forecast