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  • 标题:Analysis and prediction of the summer cooling load characteristics
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Xu Hao ; Chen Lipin ; Ye Qiang
  • 期刊名称:MATEC Web of Conferences
  • 电子版ISSN:2261-236X
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:139
  • 页码:1-4
  • DOI:10.1051/matecconf/201713900176
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:EDP Sciences
  • 摘要:Nowadays, cooling load is mainly attributable to upgrade of a new high of power grid load. An accurate calculation and prediction of cooling load can better meet power demands at peak hours in summer. Based on the historical summer cooling load and temperature data of Sichuan province, the characteristics of summer cooling load and temperature in Sichuan are examined firstly. Next, the random and nonlinear relations of power load are studied. Finally, the BP neural network model optimized by the genetic algorithm (GA) is employed to achieve accurate prediction of summer cooling load in Sichuan province. Results suggest that cooling load is closely connected with temperature and air-conditioner ownership, and that the BP neural network optimized by the GA is effective in predicting summer cooling load. To sum up, this research can provide solid basis for power load scheduling.
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