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标题：Modeling PM 10 in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam and evaluation of its impact on human health
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作者：Bang Quoc Ho
期刊名称：Sustainable Environment Research
印刷版ISSN：2468-2039
出版年度：2017
卷号：27
期号：2
页码：95-102
DOI：10.1016/j.serj.2017.01.001
语种：English
出版社：Elsevier
摘要：AbstractAccording to World Health Organization (WHO) and Global Burden of Disease, ambient air pollution is estimated to be responsible for 3.7 million premature deaths in 2012 . Therefore, it is urgent to estimate the impact of air pollution on public health and economic damage. The objectives of this research are: study the distribution of PM10concentration over Ho Chi Minh city (HCMC) and relationship to public health and for proposing solutions of diseasesprevention in HCM, Vietnam. EMIssion SENSitivity model was applied to conduct air emission inventory for transportation sector. Then, Finite Volume Model and Transport and Photochemistry Mesoscale Model were used to simulate the meteorology and the spatial distribution of PM10in HCMC. Together with disease data obtained, the US Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Model was applied for calculating the number of deaths and estimating economic losses due to PM10pollution. Finally, solutions to reduce PM10pollution and protect public health are proposed. The results showed that the highest 1-h average concentration of PM10is 240 μg m−3in North Eastern of HCMC. The concentration of PM10for annual average in District 5 ranged from 17 to 49 μg m−3. There are 12 wards of District 5 with PM10concentration exceeding the WHO guidelines (20 μg m−3for annual average of PM10and 50 μg m−3for 24-h average). The high concentration of PM10causes 5 deaths yr−1in District 5 and 204 deaths yr−1in HCMC, and it causes economic losses of 1.84 billion of USD.
关键词：KeywordsenAir pollutionHealth effectsMortalityHo Chi Minh City