文章基本信息

标题：Short-term peak electricity demand in South Africa
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作者：Caston Sigauke ; Delson Chikobvu
期刊名称：African Journal of Business Management
印刷版ISSN：1993-8233
出版年度：2012
卷号：6
期号：32
页码：9243-9249
DOI：10.5897/AJBM11.2607
语种：English
出版社：Academic Journals
摘要：The paper discusses the modelling and forecasting of daily winter peak electricity loads in South Africa for the period 2000 to 2009 using a regression model that allows for nonlinear and nonparametric terms. A demand model for daily winter peaks is developed and used for out of sample predictions. Empirical results show that electricity demand in South Africa is highly sensitive to temperature fluctuations during the winter periods.
关键词：Peak loads; temperature; additive model; regression splines