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标题：SALES ANALYSIS FORECASTING TO SUPERIA FUJI FILM 200 ASA 36 ON SINAR ABADI BOGOR SHOP
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作者：SRI RAHAYU ; SULASTRI SULASTRI
期刊名称：Faculty of Economics
出版年度：2007
卷号：0
期号：0
语种：English
出版社：Faculty of Economics
摘要：Key Words : SALES ANALYSIS forecastingABSTRACT :On Scientific Writing this author to predict the sales of content superia fuji film200 asa 36 in September 2007, particularly in the Sinar Abadi Toko moving inthe field of supply of goods for the purposes of Fotography, where sales data areobtained monthly from July 2006 until August 2007. Forecasting is to note anapproximate rate of expected demand for a product of negative film (Fuji FilmSuperia) in the period to come. The method used by the authors to predict salesin September 2007 that is by using the Moving Average method, the method andthe method of Least Square Smoothing exponential. Based on the results of thecalculation to the discussion of the forecast authors conclude that by using themethod of three-month Moving Average estimated sales forecast for the monthof September 5937 and to roll a five-month Moving Average of 5802 roll, whilethe Least Square method to forecast sales for the month of September 2007 5649roll and to the method of exponential Smoothing roll 5753. Toko Sinar Abadishould be able to use sales forecasting methods in terms of providing goods at afuture time and sales forecasting method is most appropriate is the method offive-month Moving Average, as with the methods of five-month MovingAverage forecasting error values obtained for 59 rolls, while for method ofthree-month Moving Average peramalannya error value of 65 rolls, the methodof Least Square Method 717 exponential roll and roll for 1058. This means thatthe smaller the value of the forecast error will be getting better at increasingsales of products such superia fuji film.