文章基本信息

标题：Stima dei danni economici indotti dai cambiamenti climatici sul settore zootecnico e agricolo toscano: previsioni per il periodo 2007-2099
本地全文：下载
作者：Iacopo Bernetti ; Christian Ciampi ; Claudio Fagarazzi 等
期刊名称：Aestimum
印刷版ISSN：1592-6117
电子版ISSN：1724-2118
出版年度：2009
期号：54
页码：23-50
DOI：10.13128/Aestimum-3275
语种：English
出版社：Aestimum
摘要：The climate change verified at global and local scale involves several environmental and socio-economic impacts. Thus, the definition of techniques able to quantify economic damage results to be very important in order to apply proper form of management of vulnerable systems. Following the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, risk has been defined as a function of hazard and vulnerability/resilience lines of evidence. Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence and fuzzy measures were applied to develop a framework for the assessment of economic damage. The results of the hazard and vulnerability assessment were used to develop an economic framework based on spatial analysis procedure applied to raster maps. Assessment method has been implemented with the maps, in order to quantify in monetary terms the costs to be supported. The framework was then tested on Tuscany agricultural sector.