文章基本信息

标题：Simulating housing prices in Lyon with UrbanSim: predictive capacity and sensitivity analysis
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作者：Marko Kryvobokov ; Aurélie Mercier ; Alain Bonnafous 等
期刊名称：Aestimum
印刷版ISSN：1592-6117
电子版ISSN：1724-2118
出版年度：2012
期号：61
页码：133-144
DOI：10.13128/Aestimum-12342
语种：Italian
出版社：Aestimum
摘要：Housing prices in the Lyon Urban Area are simulated with the land use framework UrbanSim interacting with transportation model. We focus on the Real Estate Price Model of the UrbanSim framework. This OLS regression model of housing prices is calibrated using a nine-year back-casting period. The calibrated model, applied in simulation, provides price dynamics similar to actual one in the centre of Lyon. Sensitivity analysis demonstrates the model’s ability to capture changes in employment accessibility on price dynamics. We conclude that the calibrated residential Real Estate Price Model from the UrbanSim application in Lyon is sensitive to changes in accessibility and provides good predictive capacity in the city centre, but underestimates prices in other areas.