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  • 标题:Seleção de carteiras utilizando o modelo Fama-French-Carhart
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:João F Caldeira ; Guilherme Valle Moura ; André Alves Portela Santos
  • 期刊名称:Revista Brasileira de Economia
  • 印刷版ISSN:0034-7140
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:67
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:45-65
  • 语种:Portuguese
  • 出版社:Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV
  • 摘要:In this article the Fama-French-Carhart factor model is used to obtain short selling-constrained and unconstrained minimum variance portfolios. For that purpose, conditional covariance matrices are obtained based on a recent multivariate factor GARCH specification with a flexible modeling strategy for the common factors, for the individual assets, and for the factor loads proposed by Santos & Moura (2012). An application involving 61 stocks traded on the São Paulo stock exchange (BM\&FBovespa) shows that the proposed specification delivers less risky portfolios on an out-of-sample basis in comparison to several benchmark models, including existing factor approaches.
  • 其他摘要:In this article the Fama-French-Carhart factor model is used to obtain short selling-constrained and unconstrained minimum variance portfolios. For that purpose, conditional covariance matrices are obtained based on a recent multivariate factor GARCH specification with a flexible modeling strategy for the common factors, for the individual assets, and for the factor loads proposed by Santos & Moura (2012). An application involving 61 stocks traded on the São Paulo stock exchange (BM\&FBovespa) shows that the proposed specification delivers less risky portfolios on an out-of-sample basis in comparison to several benchmark models, including existing factor approaches.
  • 关键词:correlação condicional dinâmica (DCC); previsão; Filtro de Kalman; CAPM com aprendizagem; otimização de carteiras; avaliação de performance
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