文章基本信息

标题：PREDICTION OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF HOUSEHOLDS FOOD SECURITY IN THE LAKE VICTORIA REGION OF KENYA
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作者：Peter Nyamuhanga Mwita ; Romanus Odhiambo Otieno ; Verdiana Grace Masanja 等
期刊名称：Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research
印刷版ISSN：2220-5810
出版年度：2011
卷号：7
期号：2
页码：331-346
DOI：10.1234/pjsor.v7i2.241
语种：English
出版社：College of Statistical and Actuarial Sciences
摘要：This paper considers the modeling and prediction of households food security status using a sample of households in the Lake Victoria region of Kenya. A priori expected food security factors and their measurements are given. A binary logistic regression model derived was fitted to thirteen priori expected factors. Analysis of the marginal effects revealed that effecting the use of the seven significant determinants: farmland size, per capita aggregate production, household size, gender of household head, use of fertilizer, use of pesticide/herbicide and education of household head, increase the likelihood of a household being food secure. Finally, interpretations of predicted conditional probabilities, following improvement of significant determinants, are given.
关键词：household;food; security; logistic;probability